Week 4 Picks

By Ryan Faherty

 

That time of the week again. The road to redemption starts here. 

 

ATLANTA (-7) over Carolina

 

So far this season, Cam has been mediocre at best, and the Falcons look like the class of the NFL. Matt Ryan has emerged as one of the best passers in the NFL and I don’t see a weak Panthers pass D slowing him down today. Falcons cover in a laugher.

 

New England (-4.5) over BUFFALO

 

There might not be a legitimate contender more in need of a win than the Pats this week. I expect Tom Brady to have himself a day, and the battered Buffalo RB core to struggle. New England will come out fired up and in desperation mode, and the Bills won’t be able to withstand their hunger.

 

KANSAS CITY (+1) over San Diego

 

I know I’m starting to sound like a broken record, but I just can’t believe in Norv Turner and the Chargers. Jamaal Charles seems to have recovered exceptionally from the devastating knee injury that ended his 2011 campaign. The Chiefs will rely heavily on their running back and control the clock in this one. Chiefs by a field goal.

 

Seattle (-3) over ST. LOUIS

 

This Seattle D is the real deal. If not for the surprising Cardinals D, this unit may be the best story of 2012 to date. Sam Bradford will find himself on his backside through the majority of this one. Russell Wilson won’t need too big of a day to take down the weak Rams.

 

Minnesota (+4.5) over DETROIT

 

This Lions defense looks horrific so far and despite their proficient offense, any respectable team in the league can hang enough points on them to stay in the game. I expect both teams to put up close to 30 and this one to come down to a field goal.

 

San Francisco (-4.5) over NY JETS

 

The Niners should shut down the Jets run game, which will demand a big game from Mark Sanchez. I don’t think he has it in him against this 49ers defense. I think the hangover from losing their most important piece in Darrelle Revis will be apparent today. Jets go quietly in this one.

 

Tennessee (+12) over HOUSTON

 

Lot of points on the board. I know Houston is a legit contender, but the Titans proved respectable in their high octane shootout with the Lions. I like Houston in this one, but don’t expect this to be a blow out.

 

Oakland (+7) over DENVER

 

As much as it pains me to say this, Peyton Manning is just not the same guy he used to be. His struggles throwing the deep ball this year has allowed defenses to creep up a couple steps, which should limit the run game. Oakland will look to the screen game to open some holes against a fast Denver front 7.

 

ARIZONA (-6) over Miami

 

I still don’t believe this offense has enough fire power to sustain this great start, but when the D and special teams provide good field position all day, it certainly makes life easier for Kevin Kolb & co. Ryan Tannehill is in for a long day against this fierce Cards D. Lots of turnovers this afternoon. Cards win comfortably.

 

Cincinnati (-2.5) over JACKSONVILLE

 

Lest we forget, Blaine Gabbert is a starting NFL QB.

 

Washington (+2.5) over TAMPA BAY

 

This should be a high scoring affair. Redskins D is falling apart and RG3 will present problems for the Bucs.  Pierre Garcon could be back for Washington which will stretch the field and open up the ground game. I like Washington to move to .500

 

New Orleans (+7.5) over GREEN BAY

 

The 2012 Underachiever Bowl. Yes, Green Bay undoubtedly was dealt a tough hand Monday night, but when you have arguably the best passer in the NFL, you need to put up more than 12 points if you realistically expect to win. I wouldn’t put a dime on this game, but imagine it will be close.

 

New York Giants (+1) over PHILADELPHIA

 

The G-Men are always a safer bet on the road. The pass rush will be a problem for Michael Vick, and if Andy Reid doesn’t give the football to LeSean McCoy, the Eagles offense will continue to struggle.

 

DALLAS (-3.5) over Chicago

 

The battle over whose offensive line can get their QB killed first. Dallas has more weapons, and their D is going to be hard to throw on.

 

 

 

 

Playoff Recap:

Brandon Morrow throws seven shutout innings as the Jays blank the Yankees 6-0. Rangers out clobber the A’s 9-7 putting them 4 up in the division. Also, Hamilton went 1-4 with 2Ks, someone take the caffeine away! He’s not seeing the ball again!!

The Rays beat the now on life support White Sox 3-2 for their 8th straight. They only sit 2 back in the Wild card, 3 from Baltimore, and 4 from the Yankees. All of a sudden the Yankees-O’s-A’s race party has an open invitation.

The Angels also sit two back and need to win games to reach the postseason. Mike Trout (0-4 2Ks) and the Angels don’t seem to realize this.

We covered this one on twitter yesterday, but Dickey wins his 20th for the Mets. The Pirates now are 2 losses away from their 21st straight losing season. Ike Davis now has 31 homeruns on the year, and still nowhere to start next year, you have to love Mets management.

Doug Fister didn’t get the win but he did strike out nine straight royals from the 4th to 7th innings. When asked about it after the game, Francouer said, “Our Moustakas, we’re gonna Lough about this later.” Okay maybe he didn’t say that, but he definitely should’ve!

Phillies and Diamondbacks lose 7-3 and are now six back of the Cardinals with six to play. So mathematically they’re not eliminated as I think the Phillies own the If-Jupiter-is-three-degrees-in-the-night-sky-from-Saturn-but-seven-degrees-from-Venus-whose-passing-the-moon-during-a-waining-gibbous.

The Big Hurt Rises

By Ryan Faherty

Well, my first venture into predicting games did not go so well. OK, fine. It was God-awful. So awful in fact that it provoked a somewhat demeaning experiment. The Little Coin vs. The Big Hurt. I’d like to chalk up week 3 to inexperience. Yeah, inexperience….that’ll work. Any way, I’m in need of some serious redemption this week. Unfortunately, I won’t gain any ground on the little coin tonight.

 

Cleveland (+12.5) Over BALTIMORE

 

I know, I know. You’d have to be a brainless, inanimate object to ever willingly take the Cleveland Browns to do anything right (e.g. a little coin). 12.5 points is a lot. The Ravens are coming off an emotional roller coaster at home on Sunday. I think they’ve got to be a little drained. Maybe looking past the feeble Browns a bit. The Browns are getting a rare taste at prime time, and their core players are too young and naive to realize they are about to be embarrassed. They are going to come out jacked up, and it will take Baltimore a quarter or so to get their legs under them. Baltimore wins, but by 10.

 

Let the games begin, Little Coin.

A Man among Men (Part 2)

by Michael Scully

Last week, we detailed Chris Carpenter’s return to the majors only three months after having his rib removed. We predicted a line of: 5IP 1ER 5H 1BB 4K. What he pitched was an eerily close 5IP 2ER 5H 1BB 2K performance. He was limited to 77 pitches to insure he doesn’t reinjure himself after working hard to come back to the team this season for the playoffs.

Tonight, Carpenter gets the nod again looking to regain his form from last year and be ready for the playoffs. The last time he pitched against the Astros was game 162 last year, where he delivered a dominating two hit shutout performance while striking out eleven. We don’t expect him to do this again as he should be limited to around 85-90 pitches, and it appears as if he hasn’t gotten full command of his sinker yet. Regardless expect a line of 5 2/3 IP 4H 1ER 1BB 3K against the helpless Astros.
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Play ‘Em, Sit ‘Em or Fuck Me Right? A look at Week 4 Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts and Guys We Just Don’t Know About

By: Bobby Cole

Whether you’re the commissioner of your league or the dude who was suckered into playing because his buddies need an extra guy, everybody can use a bit of fantasy football advice now and then. At this point in the season, everyone knows that Matt Ryan, Calvin Johnson, Ray Rice and Arian Foster should be in your lineup every week. But who could have seen the rise of Alfred Morris before the season started?

Each week we’ll look at three different players. One guy who should start, another to sit and a third who will leave you saying “well fuck me then right” because he either goes off on your bench or fizzles out in your lineup.

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The Little Coin vs. The Big Hurt

by Little Coin (aka Michael Scully’s pompous ego.)

The Motivation behind this is two-fold: One, I want to enlighten more people to this: People have no skill of picking spreads. Read it I’ll wait.

Okay, now you’re back. Two, I like to flaunt when I’m right. So, now introducing myself, Little Coin, Little Coin I will be picking each spread for the rest of the year, and we’ll see if I can knock down the Big Hurt. So Here’s how I will pick:

1. I will always pick the Houston Texans (because I’m biased, but not in flipping.)
2. I will use my buddy randomizer, to randomly list the games for the week.
3. I will flip myself, Heads means I take the points. Tails means I give the points.

Essentially, I’ll take the games in order of time as assign them a number from one to sixteen. Then, I’ll randomly arrange the games in a list like {2,4,7,5,3,8,9,10,1,15,13,12,14,6,11} . Then, I’ll flip myself, on each game.
So without further ado, here’s this week’s picks from me, Little Coin.

Game Pick
5 – Kansas City Chiefs +0.5
9 – Denver Broncos -6.5
8 – Houston Texans -12.5
14 – New York Giants +2.5
7 – New York Jets +3.5
15 – Chicago Bears +3.5
11 – Cincinnati Bengals -1.5
6 – Seattle Seahawks -2.5
12 – New Orleans Saints +7.5
4 – Detroit Lions -6.5
13 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
10 – Miami Dolphins +6.5
3 – Buffalo Bills +3.5
1 – Cleveland Browns +12.5
2 – Atlanta Falcons -7.5

The Not So Blown Call

written by RJ Wallace
edited by Michael Scully

As you all know by now, article 3, item 5 says: Simultaneous Catch. If a pass is caught simultaneously by two eligible opponents, and both players retain it, the ball belongs to the passers. It is not a simultaneous catch if a player gains control first and an opponent subsequently gains joint control.

Looking at the ESPN highlight you might be unsure. Here’s the best image they showed of it:

Tate Catch Front

I don’t know how the play last night should have gone. However, watching it again, there is never a time that Tate let go of the ball. Look, the back view shows Tate’s hand (that neon green glove under all the green and yellow) is clearly on the ball, ironically, it’s right underneath Jennings hand.

Tate Catch Back

I would call that simultaneous possession. Also, it does not look like Jennings gained control first, if anything, on the way down, he pulled it to his body and away from Tate. The rule says nothing about a player having more of the simultaneous possession than another player.

So I don’t have a problem with the refs calling that a catch, and therefore a touchdown. I wouldn’t have a problem with them calling it a pick either because the rule is not clear enough for human error. The video booth officials are unable to review a simultaneous in the current rules.

And yes Tate did push off, but no official, replacement or not is going to call that. Don’t forget about the missed pass interference on the packers a few plays earlier. The calls go both ways. They are not one sided which is how the games seemed to be with the regular officials.

*UPDATE* ESPN reports that the NFL upholds the Seahawks Victory. Their statement is almost the same we released earlier stating Tate did push off, and that once ruled a reception; simultaneous possession is not reviewable. The play was reviewed by the NFL, and the NFL stands by its substitute refs saying no indisputable evidence to overturn the reception existed for the replay booth.

The truth is, green bay let Seattle win. One first down would have put the pack in the victory formation. Maybe Jennings shouldn’t have tried to up his interception total and knock the ball down like all DB’s are taught to do in that situation. If he had so much “more simultaneous possession,” he surely could have knocked the ball away.

Even though Jon Gruden’s hate for the replacement referees has now grown larger than John Madden’s love for Brett Favre, my thoughts stay the same. The new referees are bad and the old referees are also bad.
Madden Loves Favre